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January 07, 2004

Going Soft On Global Warming

Another crack in the wall of received media wisdom on global warming has appeared. Even scientists who adhere to the theory that human activity is the primary cause of global warming now admit that their suppositions are not based on hard data.

The researchers concede that there are many uncertainties in both climate forecasts and the computer models they used. But they said their prediction could come to pass if industrial nations do not curtail emissions of greenhouse gases that trap heat in the atmosphere.

Note that not even the "global warming skeptics" dispute that fact that earth is warming up, despite ideological efforts to portray the situation otherwise. The bones of contention are over what the causes of global warming are, (human or solar) and whether or not the planetary temperatures we see now are an aberration. According the U.N Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, they are. According to global warming skeptics Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, who re-examined the data sets used in the study the IPCC bases its conclusions on, they are not.

Politics still drive the global warming debate, but science is catching up.

Posted by Bigwig at January 7, 2004 05:15 PM | TrackBack
Postscript:
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Comments

Predicting the earth's climate based on the very short history that we currently have access to is like reading page 2 of "War and Peace" and predicting how it will end.

Posted by: Captain Holly at January 8, 2004 10:53 AM
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